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Global change effects on plant communities are magnified by time and the number of global change factors imposed

  • Kimberly J. Komatsu
  • , Meghan L. Avolio
  • , Nathan P. Lemoine
  • , Forest Isbell
  • , Emily Grman
  • , Gregory R. Houseman
  • , Sally E. Koerner
  • , David Samuel Johnson
  • , Kevin R. Wilcox
  • , Juha M. Alatalo
  • , John P. Anderson
  • , Rien Aerts
  • , Sarah G. Baer
  • , Andrew H. Baldwin
  • , Jonathan Bates
  • , Carl Beierkuhnlein
  • , R. Travis Belote
  • , John Blair
  • , Juliette M.G. Bloor
  • , Patrick J. Bohlen
  • Edward W. Bork, Elizabeth H. Boughton, William D. Bowman, Andrea Britton, James F. Cahill, Enrique Chaneton, Nona R. Chiariello, Jimin Cheng, Collins Scott L., J. Hans C. Cornelissen, Guozhen Du, Anu Eskelinen, Jennifer Firn, Bryan Foster, Laura Gough, Katherine Gross, Lauren M. Hallett, Xingguo Han, Harry Harmens, Mark J. Hovenden, Annika Jagerbrand, Anke Jentsch, Christel Kern, Kari Klanderud, Alan K. Knapp, Juergen Kreyling, Wei Li, Yiqi Luo, Rebecca L. McCulley, Jennie R. McLaren, J. Patrick Megonigal, John W. Morgan, Vladimir Onipchenko, Steven C. Pennings, Janet S. Prevéy, Jodi N. Price, Peter B. Reich, Clare H. Robinson, F. Leland Russell, Osvaldo E. Sala, Eric W. Seabloom, Melinda D. Smith, Nadejda A. Soudzilovskaia, Lara Souza, Katherine Suding, K. Blake Suttle, Tony Svejcar, David Tilman, Pedro Tognetti, Roy Turkington, Shannon White, Zhuwen Xu, Laura Yahdjian, Qiang Yu, Pengfei Zhang, Yunhai Zhang
  • Smithsonian Environmental Research Centre
  • Johns Hopkins University
  • Marquette University
  • University of Minnesota
  • Eastern Michigan University
  • Wichita State University
  • University of North Carolina
  • Virginia Institute of Marine Science
  • University of Wyoming
  • Qatar University
  • New Mexico State University
  • Vrije Universiteit
  • Southern Illinois University
  • University of Maryland
  • Agricultural Research Service. United States Department of Agriculture
  • University of Bayreuth
  • The Wilderness Society
  • Kansas State University
  • Université Clermont Auvergne
  • University of Central Florida
  • University of Alberta
  • Archbold Biological Station
  • University of Colorado Boulder
  • Universidad de Buenos Aires
  • Stanford University
  • Northwest Agriculture and Forestry University
  • University of New Mexico
  • Lanzhou University
  • Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research
  • Queensland University of Technology
  • University of Kansas
  • Towson University
  • Michigan State University
  • University of Oregon
  • Chinese Academy of Sciences
  • UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology (Bangor. Wales)
  • University of Tasmania
  • Jönköping University
  • USDA Forest Service
  • Norwegian University of Life Sciences
  • Colorado State University
  • University of Greifswald
  • Northern Arizona University
  • University of Kentucky
  • University of Texas at El Paso
  • La Trobe University
  • Lomonosov Moscow State University
  • University of Houston
  • Charles Sturt University
  • University of Manchester
  • Arizona State University
  • Leiden University
  • University of Oklahoma
  • University of California
  • Oregon State University
  • University of British Columbia
  • Inner Mongolia University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

Global change drivers (GCDs) are expected to alter community structure and consequently, the services that ecosystems provide. Yet, few experimental investigations have examined effects of GCDs on plant community structure across multiple ecosystem types, and those that do exist present conflicting patterns. In an unprecedented global synthesis of over 100 experiments that manipulated factors linked to GCDs, we show that herbaceous plant community responses depend on experimental manipulation length and number of factors manipulated. We found that plant communities are fairly resistant to experimentally manipulated GCDs in the short term (<10 y). In contrast, long-term (≥10 y) experiments show increasing community divergence of treatments from control conditions. Surprisingly, these community responses occurred with similar frequency across the GCD types manipulated in our database. However, community responses were more common when 3 or more GCDs were simultaneously manipulated, suggesting the emergence of additive or synergistic effects of multiple drivers, particularly over long time periods. In half of the cases, GCD manipulations caused a difference in community composition without a corresponding species richness difference, indicating that species reordering or replacement is an important mechanism of community responses to GCDs and should be given greater consideration when examining consequences of GCDs for the biodiversity–ecosystem function relationship. Human activities are currently driving unparalleled global changes worldwide. Our analyses provide the most comprehensive evidence to date that these human activities may have widespread impacts on plant community composition globally, which will increase in frequency over time and be greater in areas where communities face multiple GCDs simultaneously.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)17867-17873
Number of pages7
JournalProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Volume116
Issue number36
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 3 Sept 2019

Keywords

  • Community composition
  • Global change experiments
  • Herbaceous plants
  • Species richness

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